Pre-tourney Rankings
Southwestern Athletic
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
257 Texas Southern 87.6%   16   15 - 19 12 - 6 15 - 19 12 - 6 -5.9      -2.9 257 -2.9 257 75.9 41 -8.2 293 -9.1 4
291 Prairie View 0.0%   15 - 18 12 - 6 15 - 18 12 - 6 -7.8      -3.9 291 -3.9 291 75.0 50 -8.0 288 -8.8 3
311 Grambling St. 12.4%   16 - 14 13 - 5 16 - 14 13 - 5 -9.2      -4.6 311 -4.6 311 77.0 27 -6.1 262 -7.0 1
328 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0%   14 - 21 12 - 6 14 - 21 12 - 6 -11.6      -5.8 328 -5.8 328 68.0 209 -10.4 317 -8.3 2
329 Southern 0.0%   13 - 18 10 - 8 13 - 18 10 - 8 -11.7      -5.9 329 -5.9 329 68.9 180 -11.3 328 -11.3 5
336 Jackson St. 0.0%   10 - 20 9 - 9 10 - 20 9 - 9 -13.8      -6.9 336 -6.9 336 61.0 338 -13.2 332 -12.4 6
338 Alcorn St. 0.0%   7 - 21 7 - 11 7 - 21 7 - 11 -14.1      -7.0 338 -7.0 338 69.1 177 -15.7 340 -15.2 8
340 Alabama St. 0.0%   8 - 23 8 - 10 8 - 23 8 - 10 -14.4      -7.2 340 -7.2 340 70.7 132 -15.0 339 -13.8 7
348 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   4 - 28 4 - 14 4 - 28 4 - 14 -17.7      -8.8 348 -8.8 348 70.0 155 -20.2 349 -19.7 9
351 Alabama A&M 0.0%   3 - 28 3 - 15 3 - 28 3 - 15 -19.9      -9.9 351 -9.9 351 65.7 259 -21.8 350 -21.3 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Texas Southern 2.0 100.0
Prairie View 2.0 100.0
Grambling St. 1.0 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 2.0 100.0
Southern 5.0 100.0
Jackson St. 6.0 100.0
Alcorn St. 8.0 100.0
Alabama St. 7.0 100.0
Mississippi Valley 9.0 100.0
Alabama A&M 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Texas Southern 12 - 6 100.0
Prairie View 12 - 6 100.0
Grambling St. 13 - 5 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 12 - 6 100.0
Southern 10 - 8 100.0
Jackson St. 9 - 9 100.0
Alcorn St. 7 - 11 100.0
Alabama St. 8 - 10 100.0
Mississippi Valley 4 - 14 100.0
Alabama A&M 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Texas Southern
Prairie View
Grambling St. 100.0% 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southern
Jackson St.
Alcorn St.
Alabama St.
Mississippi Valley
Alabama A&M


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Texas Southern 87.6% 87.6% 0.0% 16   87.6 12.4 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grambling St. 12.4% 12.4% 0.0% 12.4 87.6 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Texas Southern 87.6% 87.6% 55.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 12.4% 12.4% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 60.5% 0.6 39.5 60.5
2nd Round 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0